document.addEventListener('contextmenu', function(e) { e.preventDefault(); }, false);
top of page
Search

Credo: The Optics Thesis Is Stronger, But Execution Now Has a Higher Bar

Writer: Antonia Njeru
Antonia Njeru
21 hours ago
9 min read

Maintained Strong Buy | Target price: $248 | Expected upside: 45%

Summary

  • I maintain a Strong Buy on Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd since it has reported fiscal Q1 2027 revenue of $479.0Mn, up 9.6% sequentially and 114.7% Y/Y. Non-GAAP EPS of $1.20 beat the $1.17 consensus by $0.03.


  • My original AI connectivity thesis has strengthened. AEC, retimer, and optical DSP revenue reached records, while fiscal 2027 optical revenue remains guided above $600Mn and Q2 revenue guidance sits at $525Mn-$535Mn.


  • My base case values CRDO at $248 per share, 45% above the September 4 close of $170.57. The model uses fiscal 2028 non-GAAP EPS of $8.54, a 35x multiple, and a 12% discount rate.

Henriot Capital Investor's Summit
12 December 2026, 07:30–16:30Fairmont Mount Kenya Safari Club
Register Now

  • On December 12th, we will be bringing together investors and long-term thinkers at Fairmont Mt. Kenya Safari Club, Nanyuki for the Annual Henriot Capital Investor’s Summit. A full day of research, markets, meaningful conversations and shared experiences, built around one idea: long-term wealth conversations for future generations. Request an invitation below.


    Blue cloud computing graphic above server racks with glowing data lines in a digital network background
    Source; Telecom.com

Want to read more?

Subscribe to henriotgroup.com to keep reading this exclusive post.

Subscribe Now

Access

Capnote

Investor Portal

Subscribe

Legal

Privacy Policy

Terms

FINRA Broker Check

​

The αBP 

αBP Portfolio

αBP Rankings

Research

Communication

Email

​

​

​

  • X
  • LinkedIn
Alt Logo

Copyright © 2026 Henriot Investment Management  ™ 

All rights reserved

Important Disclaimer: Henriot Capital LLC or Henriot Investment Management ("Henriot") is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer, and is not licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. There is no requirement that any of our Information Providers be registered investment advisors or broker-dealers. Nothing published or made available by or through Henriot should be considered personalized investment advice, investment services or a solicitation to BUY, SELL, or HOLD any securities or other investments mentioned by Henriot or the Information Providers. Never invest based purely on our publication or information, which is provided on an "as is" basis without representations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

 

YOU SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS, DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE AND/OR SEEK YOUR OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVISOR AND CONSIDER THE INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES AND RISKS AND YOUR OWN NEEDS AND GOALS BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED. INVESTMENT DOES NOT GUARANTEE A POSITIVE RETURN AS STOCKS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPAL.

 

You further acknowledge that Henriot, the Information Providers or their respective affiliates, employers, employees, officers, members, managers and directors, may or may not hold positions in one or more of the securities in the Information and may trade at any time, without notification to you, based on the information they are providing and will not necessarily disclose this information to subscribers, nor the time the positions the securities were acquired. You confirm that you have read and understand, and agree to, our full disclaimer and terms of use, a copy of which can be accessed by visiting henriotgroup.com and that neither Henriot nor any of its Information Providers is in any way responsible for any investment losses you may incur under any circumstances.

​

All Content is owned or controlled by Henriot or the party otherwise credited as the provider of such Content. The Content, and the entire site, including without limitation selection, coordination, arrangement, reproduction and enhancement of such Content, all materials published by Henriot are protected by copyright pursuant to U.S. copyright laws, international conventions and other copyright laws. Reproduction of the Henriot site or any Content, in whole or in part, without written permission of Henriot is strictly prohibited.

​​

The author does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this document. All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author and are subject to change without notice.

​​

Henriot, the author, and clients of Henriot may currently have long or short positions in the securities of certain of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions.

bottom of page