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The alpha Brief: Insights on Quant Investing and the alpha Brief Portfolio (aBP)
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The aBP Weekly: AI Keeps Stocks Rising While 5.2% Treasury Yields Flash a Warning
AI enthusiasm pushed technology stocks higher again, helping the Nasdaq gain 2.1% and the S&P 500 rise 1.2% for the week despite increasingly restrictive financial conditions. AMD crossed $1 Tn in market capitalization as enthusiasm around AI infrastructure and agents accelerated.

Felix Ouma
2 days ago8 min read


The aBP Weekly: The Fed Rate Hike Is Here. Now 5% Treasury Yields Are the Market's Next Test
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 bps, taking the federal funds target range to 3.75% to 4.00% as policymakers responded to persistent inflation and an economy that continues to show resilience.

Felix Ouma
Sep 196 min read


The aBP Weekly: Rising Oil Prices Just Made the Fed’s Inflation Fight Harder
Oil prices became one of the market’s biggest risks this week, with WTI finishing above $100 per barrel as Middle East supply disruptions intensified. Higher energy costs are now feeding directly into the inflation outlook just days before the Federal Reserve’s September meeting.

Felix Ouma
Sep 127 min read


The aBP Weekly: Why a Strong Jobs Report Became Bad News for Stocks
The August jobs report surprised sharply to the upside, with the U.S. economy adding 162,000 jobs and unemployment holding at 4.1%. That is encouraging for economic growth, but it also gives the Federal Reserve less reason to ease monetary policy.

Felix Ouma
Sep 56 min read


The aBP Weekly: NVIDIA Delivered. The Fed Just Made the Market’s Next Move Harder
The market is entering an important tug of war between earnings and interest rates. Strong corporate profits can support equity valuations, but persistent inflation and higher discount rates could make investors increasingly selective about what they are willing to pay for growth.

Felix Ouma
Aug 306 min read


The aBP Weekly: Rising Bond Yields Are Testing the Stock Market Again
Wall Street received another reminder this week that strong corporate earnings and enthusiasm around artificial intelligence are not the only forces determining stock prices. After spending much of August close to record highs, U.S. equities came under pressure as long-term Treasury yields moved sharply higher, forcing investors to reconsider how much they are willing to pay for future earnings. The S&P 500 declined 1.4% for the week, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composi

Felix Ouma
Aug 227 min read


The aBP Weekly: Inflation Is Cooling, But Is the U.S. Consumer Starting to Crack?
Wall Street spent much of this week celebrating another encouraging development in the inflation story. U.S. consumer prices cooled slightly in July, helping the S&P 500 reach another record high as investors became more confident that the Federal Reserve may not need to tighten monetary policy further. But by Friday, another economic report complicated that optimistic picture.

Felix Ouma
Aug 156 min read


The aBP Weekly: The U.S. Lost Jobs, So Why Did Stocks Hit Records?
Investors interpreted the weak employment report as evidence that the U.S. labor market is cooling. That reduces some of the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further as it continues fighting inflation. Treasury yields subsequently fell, technology stocks rallied, and investors pushed the S&P 500 to another record. For investors, however, the bigger question is whether the economy is achieving the slowdown markets want or moving toward something more con

Felix Ouma
Aug 96 min read


The aBP Weekly: Microsoft Shows Wall Street What Winning the AI Race Looks Like
The biggest contributor to Microsoft's strong performance was its cloud business.
Azure continued delivering robust growth as enterprise customers accelerated adoption of AI-powered cloud services. Businesses are increasingly using Microsoft's infrastructure not only to migrate workloads to the cloud but also to develop and deploy artificial intelligence applications. The growing adoption of Microsoft 365 Copilot, Azure AI services, and enterprise AI solutions demonstrates t

Felix Ouma
Aug 14 min read


The Impact of Rising Oil Prices on the Market
For much of this year, investors have focused on artificial intelligence, interest rates, and corporate earnings. This week, however, another market force demanded attention: oil. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel for the first time in months before prices eased on Friday. Although the week ended with Brent below that level, the sharp rally reminded investors how quickly geopolitical events can reshape financial marke

Felix Ouma
Jul 253 min read


The aBP Weekly: AI Stocks Pull Back as Investors Reassess Valuations
After leading global markets for much of 2026, AI stocks experienced one of their most notable pullbacks this week. Investors took profits across several of the market's biggest winners as they prepared for another earnings season that will test whether today's premium valuations remain justified.

Felix Ouma
Jul 185 min read


The aBP Weekly: AI Infrastructure Takes Center Stage
This week, investors paid closer attention to the broader AI supply chain after several infrastructure companies reaffirmed strong demand for networking, optical interconnect, and custom silicon solutions. Rather than slowing, hyperscale AI investment continues expanding as cloud providers race to build larger AI clusters capable of supporting increasingly complex workloads.

Felix Ouma
Jul 113 min read


The aBP Weekly: Jobs Report Keeps the Market Looking Ahead
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the economy added 57,000 jobs in June, well below market expectations, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.2%.

Felix Ouma
Jul 43 min read


The aBP Weekly: Oil Fell, but AI Stayed in Focus
At first glance, this looked like an energy story. In reality, it became a market-wide story.
Lower oil prices improved sentiment across equities because they reduced one of the biggest risks investors had been watching over the past several weeks. If energy prices remain contained, inflation pressures may continue easing, giving central banks greater flexibility over the coming months.

Felix Ouma
Jun 274 min read


The aBP Weekly: Oracle and the Cost of the AI Boom
Oracle’s latest results highlighted both the enormous demand being created by AI and the enormous investment required to support it. The company delivered strong growth, expanded its cloud infrastructure business, and continued building one of the largest AI-related order backlogs in the industry.

Felix Ouma
Jun 204 min read


The aBP Weekly: AI Stocks Face Higher Expectations
Markets spent much of the past year proving that investors were willing to pay almost any price for AI stocks and artificial intelligence exposure. That phase may not be completely over, but this week suggested the market is entering a more demanding stage.

Felix Ouma
Jun 134 min read


The aBP Weekly: The Strong Jobs Report Changed the Conversation
This week reminded the market that another question may be just as important: does the economy actually need rate cuts yet?

Felix Ouma
Jun 74 min read


The aBP Weekly: Nvidia’s Rally Spread Beyond Semiconductors
Nvidia remained at the center of investor attention, but the market increasingly rewarded companies tied to the infrastructure needed to support AI growth, including semiconductors, networking, power systems, cooling, and data-center expansion.
The S&P 500 closed the week up roughly 1.4%, while the Nasdaq gained around 2.4%.

Felix Ouma
Jun 15 min read


The aBP Weekly: Nvidia Still Led, but the AI Trade Broadened
Last week’s market action once again showed that investors are still heavily focused on artificial intelligence infrastructure, but the conversation is slowly evolving. Earlier in the cycle, almost all attention went toward semiconductors and GPUs. Now the market is increasingly looking deeper into the infrastructure layer supporting AI growth, including networking, power systems, cooling, and electricity demand.

Felix Ouma
May 244 min read


The aBP Weekly: Cisco Reminded the Market What the AI Trade Is Really About
For most of the last two years, the AI trade has revolved around the same handful of names. Nvidia became the face of the movement, while investors piled into semiconductors, hyperscalers, and anything directly tied to AI chips. But this week, Cisco reminded the market that the AI buildout is much bigger than GPUs alone. It also requires networking infrastructure, data flow, connectivity, and the physical systems that allow AI to function at scale.

Felix Ouma
May 165 min read
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