document.addEventListener('contextmenu', function(e) { e.preventDefault(); }, false);
top of page
Search

Lam Research: Record Operating Margin Strengthens the AI Equipment Thesis

Writer: Felix Ouma
Felix Ouma
2 days ago
9 min read

RATING: STRONG BUY (maintained)  |  TARGET: $400  |  PRICE: $318.84 as of October 9, 2026  |  UPSIDE: 25.5%


Summary

  • Fiscal Q4 revenue rose 30% year over year to $6.72 Bn and adjusted EPS reached $1.82, beating consensus by about $57 Mn and $0.13, respectively.


  • The thesis strengthened: non-GAAP operating margin reached 38.4%, CY26 WFE moved to the low-$150 Bn range, and September-quarter revenue guidance jumped to $8.10 Bn.


  • My base case uses $41.30 Bn of fiscal 2028 revenue and $11.76 of EPS. A 39x future P/E discounted one year at 14.33% gives a present value near $401, rounded to $400.

Henriot Capital Investor's Summit
12 December 2026, 07:30–16:30Fairmont Mount Kenya Safari Club
Register Now

  • I maintain a Strong Buy because the target offers 25.5% upside, although a high multiple, customer concentration, and export controls leave a wide bear case.


Lam Research campus with modern glass building, palm trees, and gated entrance; sign and logo under blue sky.
The Edge Malaysia

Want to read more?

Subscribe to henriotgroup.com to keep reading this exclusive post.

Access

Capnote

Investor Portal

Subscribe

Legal

Privacy Policy

Terms

FINRA Broker Check

​

The αBP 

αBP Portfolio

αBP Rankings

Research

Communication

Email

​

​

​

  • X
  • LinkedIn
Alt Logo

Copyright © 2026 Henriot Investment Management  ™ 

All rights reserved

Important Disclaimer: Henriot Capital LLC or Henriot Investment Management ("Henriot") is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer, and is not licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. There is no requirement that any of our Information Providers be registered investment advisors or broker-dealers. Nothing published or made available by or through Henriot should be considered personalized investment advice, investment services or a solicitation to BUY, SELL, or HOLD any securities or other investments mentioned by Henriot or the Information Providers. Never invest based purely on our publication or information, which is provided on an "as is" basis without representations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

 

YOU SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS, DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE AND/OR SEEK YOUR OWN PROFESSIONAL ADVISOR AND CONSIDER THE INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES AND RISKS AND YOUR OWN NEEDS AND GOALS BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED. INVESTMENT DOES NOT GUARANTEE A POSITIVE RETURN AS STOCKS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF PRINCIPAL.

 

You further acknowledge that Henriot, the Information Providers or their respective affiliates, employers, employees, officers, members, managers and directors, may or may not hold positions in one or more of the securities in the Information and may trade at any time, without notification to you, based on the information they are providing and will not necessarily disclose this information to subscribers, nor the time the positions the securities were acquired. You confirm that you have read and understand, and agree to, our full disclaimer and terms of use, a copy of which can be accessed by visiting henriotgroup.com and that neither Henriot nor any of its Information Providers is in any way responsible for any investment losses you may incur under any circumstances.

​

All Content is owned or controlled by Henriot or the party otherwise credited as the provider of such Content. The Content, and the entire site, including without limitation selection, coordination, arrangement, reproduction and enhancement of such Content, all materials published by Henriot are protected by copyright pursuant to U.S. copyright laws, international conventions and other copyright laws. Reproduction of the Henriot site or any Content, in whole or in part, without written permission of Henriot is strictly prohibited.

​​

The author does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this document. All statements and expressions herein are the sole opinion of the author and are subject to change without notice.

​​

Henriot, the author, and clients of Henriot may currently have long or short positions in the securities of certain of the companies mentioned herein, or may have such a position in the future (and therefore may profit from fluctuations in the trading price of the securities). To the extent such persons do have such positions, there is no guarantee that such persons will maintain such positions.

bottom of page