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Micron Technology: Why I Am Maintaining A Strong Buy

Summary

  • I maintain a Strong Buy on Micron Technology due to accelerating AI memory demand. Micron's 3Q FY 2026 results indicate extreme and sustained supply tightness in the industry. High-bandwidth memory (HBM), advanced DRAM, and data center NAND are supply constrained, with demand far exceeding production capacity and visibility extending years ahead.


  • Micron’s 3Q FY2026 results marked a step-function higher in financial performance, with $41.46Bn in revenue, 85% gross margins and $25.11 EPS, far exceeding prior expectations and reinforcing a structural change in profitability. The company has guided an even stronger 4Q FY 2026n, expecting $50B revenue, 86% gross margins and $31 EPS, signalling that earnings power is still expanding rapidly.


  • The shift toward long-term Strategic Customer Agreements [SCAs] continues to transform Micron’s business model, with 16–17 agreements now signed, covering up to half of future revenue under multi-year, take-or-pay structures. This significantly improves revenue visibility, pricing stability and reduces exposure to traditional memory price volatility.


  • Despite this unprecedented growth in revenue, margins and forward visibility, Micron continues to trade at a material discount to semiconductor peers, reflecting lingering market perception of memory as a cyclical commodity rather than a core AI infrastructure layer.

Glowing AI MEMORY chip on a circuit board, with blue light and gold traces in a high-tech, futuristic scene.
Source: Marketwise

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